Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.191345 0.216125 0.242355 0.272133 0.304944 0.339936 0.380018
2025-07-06 0.156884 0.190003 0.227089 0.271501 0.323037 0.380745 0.450034
2025-07-13 0.134366 0.172901 0.218190 0.274928 0.343653 0.423732 0.523586
2025-07-20 0.119077 0.161748 0.214089 0.282286 0.367989 0.471263 0.604167
2025-07-27 0.104649 0.149539 0.206831 0.284210 0.384737 0.509561 0.674731
2025-08-03 0.094673 0.141675 0.203855 0.290570 0.406575 0.554434 0.754840
2025-08-10 0.086788 0.135567 0.202267 0.298042 0.429597 0.601234 0.838870
2025-08-17 0.077176 0.125865 0.194674 0.296369 0.439706 0.630987 0.901289
2025-08-24 0.069413 0.117945 0.188703 0.296134 0.451213 0.662497 0.966674
2025-08-31 0.062513 0.110543 0.182707 0.295131 0.461129 0.691739 1.029554
2025-09-07 0.058235 0.106756 0.181656 0.301043 0.480872 0.734992 1.112915
2025-09-14 0.053078 0.100989 0.177020 0.301063 0.491697 0.765722 1.179422
2025-09-21 0.048172 0.095276 0.172201 0.300732 0.502345 0.797194 1.249113
2025-09-28 0.043783 0.089984 0.167591 0.300312 0.512657 0.828388 1.319348
2025-10-05 0.040655 0.086597 0.165807 0.304194 0.529625 0.869873 1.405878
2025-10-12 0.038551 0.084862 0.166636 0.312293 0.553446 0.922343 1.510250
2025-10-19 0.035671 0.081341 0.164056 0.314435 0.567683 0.960551 1.594244
2025-10-26 0.033782 0.079544 0.164351 0.321388 0.589893 1.011638 1.699177
2025-11-02 0.032212 0.078215 0.165355 0.329539 0.614302 1.066817 1.811867
2025-11-09 0.029446 0.074113 0.160901 0.327726 0.621841 1.095458 1.884073
2025-11-16 0.027134 0.070712 0.157476 0.327475 0.631870 1.128213 1.963450
2025-11-23 0.024935 0.067304 0.153752 0.326386 0.640277 1.158445 2.039488
2025-11-30 0.023742 0.066024 0.154104 0.332823 0.661968 1.210901 2.152294